The human brain is a powerful computer that’s capable of incredible things, but it’s also full of bugs and extremely prone to error. These errors, also called “cognitive biases” are mental mistakes that can affect both our thinking and actions. What is Cognitive Bias? A cognitive bias is an error in cognition that arises in a person’s line of reasoning …
How To Maximize ROI with Customer Lifetime Value & Segmentation (the right way)
Data Science is bullsh*t. I say this a lot. And I say it despite the fact that I run my own data science lab. And it isn’t the science per se that is the issue. It’s the way it’s often used. There is an overabundance of useless projects, useless ideas, and useless analysis that do not align with business goals. …
Mental Models – The Comprehensive Guide
Mental Models: how to avoid “smoov.bra.in2023” reasoning errors and suboptimal outcomes. The human brain is a fascinating machine. It’s a complex system comprised of billions of interactions which shape our thoughts, feelings, dreams, memories, and ultimately make us who we are. Powering the human earth-suit, the brain is (quite arguably) the most advanced piece of hardware/software ever made. But the …
Mental Models (Part 4)
Use these mental models to improve your problem-solving and decision-making skills and overcome common [smoov.bra.in2023] reasoning errors. Greetings, my fellow plebeians. I hope you are enjoying this series so far. In case you missed the first three installments, you can check them out here: Mental Models: Part 1 | Part 2 | Part 3 And if you’re keeping score at …
Announcement: Our New Data & Research Lab Is Open & Operational
Big news today: Our Data & Research Lab ‘Deimos-One Labs’ is officially open for business. It will serve the U.S. government and commercial customers with responsive and reliable data analysis, warfighting intelligence, and space systems support. The Lab will offer a comprehensive suite of domains — including but not limited to remote sensing analysis, artificial intelligence, predictive analytics, business and warfighting …
Mental Models (Part 3)
Use these mental models to improve your problem-solving and decision-making skills and overcome common [smoov.bra.in2023] reasoning errors. Mental Models Part 1 | Mental Models Part 2 In an age where data is abundant, but wisdom is increasingly scarce, the currency of clarity has never been more valuable. Enter mental models, the unsung heroes of cognitive function, which allow us to navigate …
Mental Models (Part 2)
Use these mental models to improve your problem-solving and decision-making skills and overcome common [smoov.bra.in2023] reasoning errors. Mental Models Part 1 | Mental Models Part 2 Greetings, my fellow plebeians. I hope this message finds you well and thriving in your online intellectual adventures. In Part 1 of this series, we introduced you to the concept of mental models and …
Mental Models (Part 1)
Use these mental models to improve your problem-solving and decision-making skills and overcome common [smoov.bra.in2023] reasoning errors. As an economist by way of education (not profession), I was introduced to Charlie Munger’s now famous speech, The Psychology of Human Misjudgment (which is quite arguably the magnum opus on why we behave the way we do) in grad school, and this …
Basic Mungernomics
In this shitty bathroom analysis we examine pleb success probability in a Mungernomics framework using our Proprietary Decisioning System [smoov.bra.in2023] to test our hypothesis. A Study in Simplicity and Uncommon, Common Sense 📊 Decepticon intellectuals come in many forms. But one of their most common tricks is to play the role of the market/economic expert. Bold predictions. Fancy charts. Long …
The End of Times – Predictions & Prophecy
In this shitty bathroom analysis we examine Doomsday Probability (USA/Russia/et al) using our Proprietary Decisioning System [smoov.bra.in2023] to test our hypothesis. INTRO TO THE END 📊 There has been a rumor going around this week that the US and Russia are on the brink of thermonuclear war. Something about a power plant in Ukraine, some explosives, high tensions, and possibly …